If Trump wants to curb inflation, the first thing to do is to build more houses. If Trump wants to push down inflation in the United States to a more tolerable level, he needs housing costs to help him. In this regard, the influence of the Federal Reserve is limited. It is unclear whether inflation will return to the Fed's 2% target in a sustained and convincing manner, at least not until housing inflation is further eased. In October, the national average rent in the United States was $209 per month, slightly lower than that in September, but still higher than the same period last year by 3.3%. Lisa Studt Vanter, chief economist of Bright MLS, said, "It is expected that with the passage of time, we will start to see the year-on-year rent growth slow down, but it just feels like it will take a long time. Some measures proposed by Trump will lead to rising inflation. Compared with six months ago, the prospect of continuing to move towards 2% is less certain. Aiming at the housing supply problem is something that the federal government can do meaningfully. Of course, this is not something that can be done in the short term. "Jinmo Technology: The reserve price for the transfer of 40% equity of Mo Tian Jun Fu is 9,980,600 yuan. Jinmo Technology announced that the company held the 28th meeting of the 4th Board of Directors on November 29th, 2024, and reviewed and approved the Proposal on Authorizing the General Manager's Office to Transfer the Equity of Joint Venture. Authorized by the resolution of the board of directors, the company entrusted Southwest United Assets and Equity Exchange to publicly list and transfer 40% equity of Beijing Mo Tian Jun Fu Private Equity Fund Management Co., Ltd., with a reserve price of 9,980,600 yuan. Aerofilm Technology Development Group Co., Ltd. became the final transferee, with a transaction price of 9,980,600 yuan. Aerofilm Technology holds 23.63% shares of Jinmo Technology, which is the controlling shareholder of the company and also the shareholder holding more than 5% shares. This transaction constitutes a connected transaction.Reuters survey: In December, the Bank of England decided to keep interest rates unchanged or cut interest rates by 100 basis points next year. All 71 economists surveyed during December 6-11 predicted that the Bank of England would keep its target interest rate unchanged at 4.75% at its meeting on December 19. Among the economists who predict the interest rate outlook until the end of 2025, about 54% (36 out of 67) expect to cut interest rates by 100 basis points by the end of next year, another 17 expect to cut interest rates by at least 125 basis points, and 14 expect to cut interest rates by at most 75 basis points.
Mackler M, Governor of the Bank of Canada: (Regarding the potential tariff policy) We can't make policies based on what may happen. If the (US) tariffs are implemented as promised, it will cause serious damage to the Canadian economy.Poly Development: Poly Group increased its holdings by 261 million yuan. According to the announcement of Poly Development, the actual controller of the company, Poly Group, has completed the plan to increase its holdings, and accumulated 27,980,100 A shares, accounting for 0.23% of the total share capital, with an increase of 261 million yuan. This increase plan will last for 12 months from December 12, 2023, and the increase amount will be no less than 250 million yuan and no more than 500 million yuan. After the completion of the increase, Poly Group directly holds about 3.03% of the company's shares, and the total shareholding ratio with its wholly-owned subsidiaries is 40.72%. The increase in holdings is in compliance with relevant laws and regulations, and Poly Group promises not to reduce its holdings within the statutory time limit.London Metal Exchange (LME): aluminum stocks decreased by 2,500 tons, copper stocks decreased by 75 tons, nickel stocks decreased by 2,862 tons, lead stocks decreased by 2,250 tons, tin stocks were flat, and zinc stocks decreased by 1,300 tons.
Ali's Taotian Supply Chain Company increased its capital to 50 million yuan, an increase of 400%. Tianyancha App shows that recently, Hangzhou Taotian Supply Chain Co., Ltd. has undergone industrial and commercial changes, and its registered capital has increased from 10 million yuan to 50 million yuan, an increase of 400%. At the same time, some key personnel have changed. Hangzhou Taotian Supply Chain Co., Ltd. was established in January 2016, and its legal representative is Zhang Bowen. Its business scope includes supply chain management services, professional design services, socio-economic consulting services, primary processing of edible agricultural products, primary processing of non-edible agricultural products, wholesale of aquatic products, acquisition of aquatic products, frozen processing of aquatic products, etc. It is wholly owned by Alibaba (China) Network Technology Co., Ltd.Reuters survey: Most economists expect Britain to basically avoid the impact of Trump tariffs. According to the Reuters survey, most economists expect that US President-elect Trump will impose tariffs of less than 10% or not at all on goods imported from Britain next year, which will have little impact on the British economy. This is in stark contrast to a similar poll last month. Last month's polls showed that people were generally worried that the EU would be hit harder. Britain officially withdrew from the EU in 2020. Part of the reason why economists are more optimistic about Britain is that although one-fifth of Britain's total trade is with the United States, the proposed tariffs will focus on goods, and only one-third of Britain's exports are goods.IEA Monthly Report: The decision of OPEC+has reduced the potential oversupply. The International Energy Agency (IEA) said today that the recent decision of OPEC+member countries to postpone the planned production increase has "greatly reduced" the potential oversupply next year. Nevertheless, IEA said that in view of the persistent overproduction in some OPEC+member countries, strong supply growth outside the alliance and moderate global oil demand growth, there may still be a serious oversupply in the oil market in 2025. IEA predicts that even if all OPEC+production reduction plans remain unchanged, supply will exceed demand by about 950,000 barrels per day next year. IEA said that if OPEC members start increasing production in April as planned, the oversupply will increase to 1.4 million barrels per day.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14